Democrats – dismal Midterm prospects

The last week of 2021 has begun. New Years’ Day will shortly be upon us, and with it the earnest start of Midterm campaign season. The Presidency is not at issue (though it should be), but control of the House and Senate are. And the Democrats are almost certain to lose control of the House, no matter what happens in other races.

Democrats and their overall prospects

Democrats are once again a party in total power. Such a party is always vulnerable at Midterms. A level of discontent always exists against the party in power, and finds expression at Midterms. A Presidential candidate has “coattails” onto which a House or Senate incumbent or challenger can hang. During Midterms, no coattails – and an incumbent President can sometimes drag down his own Party’s candidates. Such is the case with President Biden. He has set fire to the discontent he always had to reason would exist.

How the Democrats stole the Election of 2020

First, he is not the legitimate President. The evidence of Internet gimmicking of the Dominion Voting Services scanner-tabulators is undeniable and incontrovertible. Add to it the corrupt Officers of Election who shoved accredited poll watchers aside to work skulduggery at the polls. The worst example, of course, took place at the State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia. The OOEs announced a closing of the polls by reason of plumbing problems in the restrooms. And after the poll watchers left, the OOEs hauled out their “suitcases” (a technical term for any container of election equipment or supplies) from underneath a black-draped table. From those “suitcases” they extracted sheafs of photostatic copies of pre-filled-out ballots, which they then scanned forty times each.

And why not? All those OOEs came from a temporary help placement agency. And the agency head is none other than Stacey Abrams, failed Democrat candidate for Governor.

Secretary of State Brad “Riff Raff” Raffensperger may deny it as he pleases.

But we have the surveillance video recordings to prove it, and to prove other disgraceful acts by OOEs in other States.

And why they cannot steal the Midterms

That, of course, prompted Steve Bannon to urge Patriots everywhere to:

1. Take training in poll watching, including how not to let crooked OOEs bamboozle you or shove you aside, and
2. Apply to be the OOEs, on the very reasonable theory that it is better to be the OOE than to complain about their conduct afterward!

Patriots proved the worth of these new OOEs (among which your editor was proud to number) and poll watchers in the Pre-Midterm in Virginia. And these new OOEs and poll watchers will be on duty during Midterms. No one will use “suitcases” to smuggle in photostatted ballots again!

The Democrats did, of course, try to pass legislation to Federalize elections and legitimatize these corrupt practices. But the Senate refused to act, and now Senate and House have adjourned sine die for the year. Why? Because whoever orchestrated the Big Steal, forgot to extend it down-ticket! Democrats of course cited their loss of House strength as evidence that no such Big Steal took place. But surelyRep. Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.-8th), Speaker of the House, wanted to strangle whoever neglected the down-ticket races. That neglect is the only reason why the Republicans could “flip” Virginia.

So much for the first way Biden fueled the discontent. Turn now to:

Biden’s dismal performance in office

Joe Biden’s performance in office, by any objective measure, is the worst of any President in history. The one thing he promised that would have been a good thing, he hasn’t done. That is: to “shut down the virus” but not the country or its economy. Actually he likely did intend to shut down country and economy all along, to bring about a Great Reset of the economy to a command economy. But even laying that aside, he could never have shut down coronavirus. Erasing a virus from the human or Earthly ecosystem is an impossible dream. The steps he has taken, in the order in which he has taken them, serve not to promote health but to threaten it.

The people know this. That’s why he (and Obama, too) lost Virginia for their subordinate, Terence McAuliffe.

Democrats in the House know it, too. For that reason, 23 Democrats will not seek re-election. How many Republicans are also retiring? Fifteen. The problem is: the Democrats are only five up on Republicans in the House. Do the math.

In the Senate the math, at first glance, looks like a flip. One Democrat and five Republicans will not seek re-election to the Senate. Here is the definitive, objective list.

Who are these retiring Republicans and Democrats?

But who are these people? Devin Nunes is the only truly Patriotic Republican among the retirees, and he is retiring to take command of a new social-media organ that Donald Trump has set up. The rest are Republicans In Name Only. They include the infamous Adam Kinzinger and Anthony Gonzalez, who voted to remove Trump on impeachment on a spurious pretext. (Rep. Liz-Cheney, R-Wyo.-At-large, will try to stay in. But she already has two primary challengers.)

On the Senate side, Senator Patrick Leahy (D-Vt.) is an old-line Democrat who might—or might not—recognize his own Party anymore. The retiring Republicans are no great loss. They include Senator Pat Toomey (R-Pa.). Already a firebrand of a Republican State Senator (Doug Mastriano) bids fair to take the nomination. And the people are no longer in a mood to elect “moderates.”

Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice! … And … moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue!Senator Barry M. Goldwater (R-Ariz.), candidate for President in 1964

Incumbency has a hard-to-beat power, both in primaries and in the general election. Retirement automatically leaves the seat open, and means a contested, hence contentious, primary. Which is what the Republican Party has anyway, so that makes the general election “even” in that regard.

Add to it that so many retiring Members suggest that they are retiring because the Democratic Party brand is so damaged that even they, incumbents that they are, could not hold their seats.

Redistricting

Redistricting presents its own problems – so many that the Democrats are stressing it in their fundraising. Again, blame whoever stole the Election of 2020 for Joe Biden but neglected to steal it down-ticket. Republicans control more legislatures than do Democrats. And in Virginia, where Democrats control the General Assembly, Republicans managed to amend the State Constitution to take redistricting out of legislative hands. (A Redistricting Commission failed to agree on new maps. So the Supreme Court of Virginia appointed two Special Masters to do the job for them.)

At least some Democrats have had someone—maybe a Republican legislature, maybe a Redistricting Commission, or maybe (as in Virginia) a team of Special Masters to the Supreme Court—draw them out of their old districts and into other districts. One of them: Representative Abigail Spanberger (D-Va.-7th). She now is in the First District and must face off against incumbent Rep. Ron Wittman (R-Va.-1st). CNAV can now say what Rep. Spanberger will do, following reports from the Richmond Times-Dispatch and Television Station WVIR-TV. She will sell her house and move to Northern Virginia, where the Special Masters moved her district. Rep. Bob Good (R-Va.-5th) will move south to Chesterfield County to represent what was the Seventh District under the old map. (This is why State Senator Amanda F. Chase, R-Chesterfield, decided not to contest the seat.)

Democrats holler “Gerrymandering!”

More broadly, Democrats everywhere know that redistricting will put them at a disadvantage. Republican-leaning States gained a net of five seats from reapportionment from the Census. This, and the control Republicans have over most legislatures, has them hollering, “Gerrymandering!” This is a lame excuse. First, their party invented Gerrymandering, which takes its name from Elbridge Gerry, Governor of Massachusetts. Second, they themselves practiced drawing districts with odd shapes for as long as they controlled most legislatures. New Jersey’s Sixth District, for example, looks like a girl’s ornamental comb!

All of which to say that the Democrats will most likely lose the House of Representatives. They might even lose the Senate, even apart from Pat Leahy’s retirement from that body. Senator Rafael Warnick (D-Ga.) will defend the seat to which he has almost as dubious a claim as does Biden to the Presidency. (The same apparatus that gave Biden Georgia’s electoral votes was in place in the Georgia Runoff. That prompted many Republicans to sit out the election in disgust. They won’t sit the election out this time.) If that seat alone flips, Republicans control the Senate. And if patriotic Republicans replace the retirees, the Senate will be in no mood to compromise with this President.

This will likely turn Joe Biden into a lame duck even before his first term ends.