Civilization
Supreme Court Just Gave Mail-In Ballot Safeguards a Chance
The United States Supreme Court at least gave a chance for mail-in ballots to have some sorely-needed safeguards for the first time.
The Supreme Court’s decision to stay the injunction blocking President Trump’s March executive order on mail-in ballots gives voters something they are clamoring for: greater confidence in election integrity. A new Rasmussen Reports survey finds that, by a 52% to 34% margin, likely voters say the government has not done enough to prevent election cheating. Even more striking, voters say by nearly two to one that widespread cheating is likely to affect the outcome of this fall’s congressional elections.
Clear majorities are afraid of cheating – and that mail-in ballots will facilitate cheating
Concerns about November’s elections cross political and demographic lines. Majorities of Democrats, Republicans, and independents expect widespread cheating to affect the outcome, as do majorities across racial groups – including 75% of Hispanics and 63% of blacks – and among both sexes and every age group. Only self-identified liberals do not share that concern as a group.
Other surveys show voters are concerned that mail-in voting makes cheating easier, but Trump’s executive order was more narrowly focused and concerned that those who voted weren’t noncitizens or deceased.
The Supreme Court ruled 6-3 that the lower court had acted prematurely. Federal courts review final rules, the majority explained, “not proposed rules—and certainly not antecedent internal directives to propose a rule.” Litigants are free to challenge the Postal Service’s final rule, but they went to court too early when they challenged Trump’s directive ordering USPS to begin the rulemaking process.
U.S. District Judge Indira Talwani in Boston, an Obama appointee who issued the original injunction preventing the Postal Service from even initiating that rulemaking process, lifted the nationwide injunction Wednesday. Her action temporarily cleared the way for USPS to implement its new mail-ballot rules ahead of the November midterms.
A new filing against the mail-in ballot rule
Two dozen states immediately filed a new lawsuit challenging the final USPS rule itself rather than Trump’s earlier directive to develop one, and Judge Talwani used that new filing to put in a new injunction on Thursday. Among other arguments, they contend that USPS lacks statutory authority to regulate who may receive mail ballots and that the rule intrudes on states’ constitutional authority over elections. And Judge Talwani has already indicated that she is very sympathetic to their claims. The original case was titled Trump v. California, but it was brought in Boston because Democrats wanted the most sympathetic circuit court judges in the country.
The strength of the federal government’s case
But vote fraud in federal elections is a federal crime. Federal law makes it a crime to knowingly and willfully deprive or attempt to deprive a state’s residents of a fair election through the procurement, casting, or tabulation of ballots known to be materially false, fictitious, or fraudulent. It also prohibits noncitizens from voting in federal elections, subject to narrow statutory exceptions, and prohibits voting more than once in covered circumstances.
The Postal Service also has substantial authority and responsibility to combat crimes involving ballots sent through the mail. That raises an obvious question: If federal law makes election fraud a crime and criminals use the mail to commit it, why shouldn’t USPS take reasonable measures to prevent its mail system from facilitating that fraud?
Congress has also given the federal government authority to examine federal election records. With the Civil Rights Act of 1960, Congress imposed record-retention requirements on state election officials. Officials must preserve for 22 months records relating to voter registration and other acts requisite to voting in federal elections, allowing authorities to inspect records relevant to enforcing federal election laws.
The Civil Rights Act
Ironically, the Democrats are now fighting the federal government’s efforts to obtain voter-registration records under the Civil Rights Act of 1960. Congress enacted the law in part to protect Southern black Americans from practices that diluted or denied their voting rights and gave the federal government tools to investigate violations of federal voting laws. Allowing noncitizens or deceased people to vote in federal elections would likewise dilute the votes of eligible American citizens.
The Justice Department is now invoking that statutory authority to demand access to statewide voter-registration lists. DOJ sued states that refused its requests and, as of its April update, reported bringing such litigation against 29 states and the District of Columbia.
Trump’s executive order also directs USPS to coordinate with its Inspector General and the Justice Department when it suspects unlawful use of the mail involving federal election materials. The order cites existing federal statutes governing mail and election crimes.
The courts have something to judge
Voters deserve both confidence in election results and safeguards that ensure every lawful vote counts equally. The Supreme Court was right to allow the Postal Service to finish its rulemaking before courts judged rules that did not yet exist. Now that USPS has issued its final rules, courts can decide the actual legal questions – including whether federal authority to protect election integrity extends to these safeguards for ballots sent through the mail. But the Democratic-controlled First Circuit in Boston seems determined to keep delaying action until after this year’s elections.
This article was originally published by RealClearPolitics and made available via RealClearWire.
Dr. John R. Lott, Jr. is an economist and a world-recognized expert on guns and crime. During the Trump administration, he served as the Senior Advisor for Research and Statistics in the Office of Justice Programs and then the Office of Legal Policy in the U.S. Department of Justice. Lott has held research or teaching positions at various academic institutions including the University of Chicago, Yale University, the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, Stanford University, UCLA, and Rice University, and was the chief economist at the United States Sentencing Commission during 1988-1989. He holds a Ph.D. in economics from UCLA.
Nobel laureate Milton Friedman noted: “John Lott has few equals as a perceptive analyst of controversial public policy issues.”
Lott is a prolific author for both academic and popular publications. He has published over 100 articles in peer-reviewed academic journals and written ten books, including “More Guns, Less Crime,” “The Bias Against Guns,” and “Freedomnomics.” His most recent books are “Dumbing Down the Courts: How politics keeps the smartest judges off the bench” and “Gun Control Myths.”
He has been one of the most productive and cited economists in the world (from 1969 to 2000 he ranked 26th worldwide in terms of quality-adjusted total academic journal output, 4th in terms of total research output, and 86th in terms of citations). Among economics, business, and law professors his research is currently the 15th most downloaded in the world. He is also a frequent writer of op-eds.
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