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The American Naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is not an attack on Iran (that would be redundant), but on China.
The Iran conflict has entered the phase of a strategic pause – on the part of the United States, which is after bigger game.
Decapitation is no longer sufficient to win a war against an enemy that can decentralize its war-fighting apparatus.
ISIS (Islamic State in Iraq and Syria) and IRGC (Iran Revolutionary Guard Corps) are ideologically similar, but IRGC actually runs something.
Iran cannot stave off a ground invasion with the conventional weapons left to it, but it could use chemical and biological weapons.
The Strait of Hormuz is an effective straitjacket for the entire world outside of Iran, by reason of global oil pricing.
President Trump should follow the instincts that have served him well, not energy markets that calculate for the short term.
Iran has survived this long because Russia and China are allied with it and using it as their proxy against the United States.
Operation Epic Fury had three prime ingredients for success: ability to attack first, no distractions, and a reliable ally.
The United States is on track to win militarily in Iran, but winning the larger struggle will require attention to "the day after."
